Weekly Commentary on Ferrosilicon Market (3.9-3.13): Running weakly

  • Friday, March 13, 2020
  • Source:ferro-alloys.com

  • Keywords:Ferrosilicon futures spot
[Fellow]Key word of ferrosilicon market of this week was: Inventory pressures.

[Ferro-Alloys.com

[Steel Tender] Steel tender of March kept slowly moving and showed as pessimistic as expected. This week, the big steel mill in North China released its tender volume and inquiry price of March, which was 2273 tons (up by 1223 tons from last month and down by 1277 tons YoY) and 5700 yuan per ton (the final tender price would be higher than that, but not much).

[Spot market] Key word of ferrosilicon market of this week was: Inventory pressures. Statistic showed that February inventories of domestic ferrosilicon plants were over 400 thousand tons, up by almost 50% vs. last month and over 150% year on year. Although the ferrosilicon price was already near the cost line, analyst of Ferro-Alloys.com thought it would continue drop under the present unbalance of supply-demand. If the operation rate kept high, the price was likely to continue to fall.

[Spot price] Ferrosilicon 72# quotation in major producing areas was around 5450-5500 yuan per ton, while ferrosilicon 75# quotation was around 5700-5800 yuan per ton.

[Ferrosilicon Futures 2005 contract] Opening price of ferrosilicon futures 2005 contract was 5598, highest price was 5634, lowest price was 5540, closing price was 5596 and the settlement price was 5592. The positions were 63575 and the trading volumes were 184505.

Below are ferrosilicon futures main contract 2005 daily specific performances in this week:

Date

Opening price

Highest price

Lowest price

Closing price

Settlement Price

Trading volume

Positions

3.9

5598

5634

5540

5606

5592

51434

67513

3.10

5606

5622

5578

5606

5602

32251

64030

3.11

5616

5634

5604

5620

5618

22856

64652

3.12

5600

5620

5570

5602

5596

36798

67207

3.13

5582

5610

5554

5596

5592

41166

63575

 

[Steel] More and more enterprises resumed work but construction-related industries resumed slowly. It may not recover until late-March even April, experts said. The actual capacity utilization of blast furnace of last week was 79.3% and down by 0.4%. And the actual capacity utilization of electrical arc furnace was 7.68% and up by 4%, which increased the supplies of rebar.

Rebar stockpiles kept piling up this week, and the total inventories is over 21.5 million tons, and it is very likely to achieve 22-24 million tons in the near future. The inventory pressure is huge if the production remains flat with the same period of last year. The steel price kept decreasing while the iron ore price stayed strong, then steel mills would be likely to reduce production as the profit lower and lower.

  • [Editor:kangmingfei]

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